PHIL 252 Unit 2 — Arguments and Bullshit

Core Argument of This Unit

Reasoning is a private, messy process subject to bias and memory failure. The solution is to make reasoning public by formalizing it into arguments — a structured set of premises supporting a conclusion that others can scrutinize. At the same time, this unit expands the taxonomy of bullshit and misinformation we must be equipped to identify.

Key Ideas

Inference vs. Argument:

  • Inference: A private mental process (“aha!” moment). Hard to evaluate directly because of unreliable memory, cognitive biases, and limits of self-analysis.
  • Argument: An inference made public. A social exchange — explicitly constructed, rehearsed, justified, and evaluable. “An argument is a collected series of statements intended to establish a proposition.”

The goal of critical thinking is to move from private inference to public argument.

The Three Components of an Argument:

  1. Premises — support statements providing evidence or reasons
  2. Conclusion — the main claim being established
  3. Support Relationship — the assertion that if the premises are true, the conclusion is true (or likely)

Cogency — the standard for a good argument: A cogent argument must satisfy three conditions:

  1. Acceptable Premises — rationally acceptable to a reasonable audience
  2. Relevance — premises genuinely bear on the conclusion
  3. Sufficient Grounds — premises provide strong enough rational support

Dialectical Acceptability: Premises must survive a dialogue about their acceptability — they must meet reasonable counterarguments. Four types of premise almost always pass this test: (1) uncontested personal experience, (2) uncontroversial common knowledge, (3) expert consensus, (4) conclusions of previously established cogent arguments.

Expanded Bullshit Taxonomy:

TypeDefinition
Nonsense BullshitMeaningless language cloaked in rhetoric no one can critique
Persuasive BullshitConveys exaggerated sense of competence or authority
Evasive BullshitAvoids directly answering a question
MisinformationFalse claims not deliberately designed to deceive
DisinformationFalsehoods spread deliberately
Firehose StrategyFlooding channels with contradictory claims to confuse
Community EpistemologyTruth determined by group identity, not evidence
Black BoxScientific claims too complex for non-experts to penetrate

Three Questions for Any Claim:

  1. Who is telling me this?
  2. How do they know it?
  3. What is in it for them?

Key Terms

See Argument, Cogency, Bullshit

Foundational for Unit 7

  • Argument structure (premises, conclusion, support relationship) is the scaffold for evaluating scientific arguments
  • Cogency is the informal standard that inductive/scientific arguments must meet
  • Dialectical acceptability — expert consensus as an always-acceptable premise type is central to how science communicates
  • Community Epistemology is a barrier to scientific reasoning (tribal rejection of evidence)